The term Free Trade Agreement (FTA) conjures great
expectations and like the Charles Dickens classic of the same name, it is a coming-of-age
story for Australia in the Asian Century.
FTAs are economic policies based on the popular rationale
that international markets should be free to trade across international borders
without the interference of Government.
Most trade negotiations occur through the World Trade
Organisation (WTO). These agreements
then cascade down to more localised initiatives such as the North American Free
Trade Agreement, an ‘open market’ policy between Canada, United States and
Mexico.
FTAs are complex and strategic. Prime Minister Tony Abbot recently stated Australia’s
‘open market’ aspirations in the region by declaring we are “open for
business”.
At a time when some of our industries are desperate for
trade reform, the term free trade
agreement is misleading because more-often-than-not, what has been
finalised is something much different.
Consequently, we continually hear that the economic gains
for Australia are minimal and lagging.
It is balance-of-power that determines the outcome of
international trade negotiations.
Australia is a remote out-post of the world economy. By global standards we have a very short
trading history, the majority of which simply went back to the Motherland. We do not understand what it’s like to be
surrounded by multiple borders, meaning you learn to trade or learn to fight.
We have a small, fragmented population and economy. We are not known for value-adding and our
industries are increasingly uncompetitive which has been eroding any price
advantage for even basic commodities.
The countries in our region we seek a close trading
relationship with have been trading AND fighting across borders for thousands
of years. They have huge economies made
up of very lean and competitive industries.
Constantly living under the economic or physical threat of
multiple borders means these countries have a culture of deep-rooted domestic
protection and austerity. Hence we see
the heavy-use of sanctions. That is, the
ability for a foreign industry to sue the Australian Government under a trade agreement.
An important feature of any negotiation is to know your
anchor. What is Australia’s anchor when
it negotiates a free trade agreement? In
my opinion, Australia is viewed as a weak seller.
A philosophical view of free trade agreements is they are a
diplomatic intent by Australia to keep the communication lines open when it
comes to trade and investment, in an effort to ensure we can be part of the
action and not get shut-out completely.
Australia recently signed the Korea Australia Free Trade
Agreement (KAFTA) and the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) with Japan. As always the devil is in the detail; much of
which is conspicuous by its absence on these occasions. For agribusiness and food, it will be 20
years or so before we feel the economic impact in some instances.
Like the little engine that could, international trade
negotiations will continue to give Australia long-term optimism and hope.
In the meantime, of greater urgency for local exporters is
that the Australian Government increases its focus on our own domestic
situation and starts pulling the right economic levers to help us become internationally
competitive, free trade agreements or otherwise.
What levers should the Government be pulling to make Australia's agribusiness and food system globally competitive and profitable?
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